Voting against the clear favourite would have made a difference if they had turned out and voted liberal. If the votes had been split between liberal, labour and others it wouldn't have made any difference. If you assume that the people who don't vote are likely to have a distribution weighted in favour of the underdog, we'd have got the same result with slightly different numbers.
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Date: 2010-05-07 08:23 am (UTC)Voting against the clear favourite would have made a difference if they had turned out and voted liberal. If the votes had been split between liberal, labour and others it wouldn't have made any difference. If you assume that the people who don't vote are likely to have a distribution weighted in favour of the underdog, we'd have got the same result with slightly different numbers.